Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 1-6
Tomelloso vs Amurrio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
31.9%
Draw
0-0
15.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.9%
38.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tomelloso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2002 |
TOM
1 - 0
CIU
45%
28%
27%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
GIM
1 - 1
TOM
25%
29%
47%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
GUA
1 - 2
TOM
37%
28%
35%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
TOM
0 - 0
CAB
70%
19%
11%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
QRE
1 - 0
TOM
40%
28%
32%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Amurrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2002 |
AMU
3 - 0
UNI
69%
20%
12%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2002 |
ROB
2 - 0
AMU
26%
30%
44%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
AMU
3 - 1
CAU
65%
22%
13%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
AMU
4 - 1
MAR
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
LUG
0 - 0
AMU
41%
29%
29%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |