Tomelloso vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
28%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
49.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tomelloso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
ALC
1 - 1
TOM
71%
20%
9%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
TOM
1 - 1
UDC
38%
29%
33%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
CDT
5 - 1
TOM
66%
22%
11%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
TOM
1 - 0
TAL
22%
27%
51%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +3 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
CUL
2 - 0
TOM
75%
17%
8%
|
32 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
ALC
1 - 0
UBC
37%
29%
34%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
PON
0 - 1
ALC
57%
24%
19%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
ALC
0 - 1
BUR
34%
31%
35%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
MAJ
1 - 1
ALC
26%
27%
48%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
ALC
1 - 1
CFP
64%
23%
14%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |