Tomelloso vs AD Plus Ultra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
38.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tomelloso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
SLA
1 - 0
TOM
85%
10%
6%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
CDT
1 - 0
TOM
71%
15%
15%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
TOM
1 - 3
UBC
70%
16%
14%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
AVI
3 - 0
TOM
52%
19%
29%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 1948 |
TOM
2 - 1
CPC
65%
17%
19%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
AD Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
MAN
1 - 1
PUL
41%
21%
38%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
TAL
2 - 3
PUL
52%
20%
29%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
PUL
1 - 1
SLA
55%
19%
27%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
CDT
2 - 2
PUL
56%
19%
25%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1948 |
PUL
3 - 1
UBC
82%
10%
7%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |