Tombense vs Villa Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
7.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
CAU
0 - 0
TOM
16%
20%
64%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
TOM
2 - 2
DEM
77%
16%
7%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
POA
1 - 1
TOM
30%
25%
45%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
PAT
1 - 2
TOM
10%
20%
70%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
TOM
3 - 0
CAL
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
3 - 2
IFC
32%
22%
46%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 4
CRZ
10%
20%
70%
|
47 | 78 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CAL
2 - 1
VIL
28%
28%
45%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
DEM
45%
24%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
DEM
0 - 1
VIL
35%
27%
38%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |