Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 2-3
Tombense vs Treze analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
32.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
MIN
1 - 2
TOM
23%
23%
54%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
URT
2 - 1
TOM
30%
24%
47%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
TOM
1 - 1
TUP
47%
25%
28%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
TOM
13%
20%
67%
|
54 | 20 | 34 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
TOM
0 - 0
BOA
36%
25%
39%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
TRE
1 - 2
POT
63%
22%
16%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
CEA
2 - 0
TRE
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
TRE
2 - 0
CRB
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CRB
2 - 1
TRE
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
TRE
0 - 1
CEA
16%
23%
61%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | -1 |