Tombense vs Aymorés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
8.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
ATH
3 - 1
TOM
49%
25%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
TOM
1 - 1
POA
73%
18%
9%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
DEM
0 - 1
TOM
15%
21%
65%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
TOM
1 - 0
IFC
75%
16%
10%
|
73 | 41 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2025 |
CRZ
1 - 0
TOM
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Aymorés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
IFC
0 - 0
AYM
42%
24%
34%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
AYM
1 - 1
UBE
20%
23%
57%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
AYM
2 - 0
ATH
4%
10%
86%
|
37 | 75 | 38 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
BET
2 - 0
AYM
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
AYM
0 - 0
ATM
3%
15%
83%
|
37 | 87 | 50 | +1 |