Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 3-5
Tombense vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
69.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
15.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
TOM
3 - 0
ITU
30%
30%
41%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
CRI
2 - 0
TOM
53%
27%
19%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
PAL
4 - 2
TOM
84%
12%
4%
|
63 | 90 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
TOM
3 - 2
VIL
43%
27%
31%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 2
TOM
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
VAS
2 - 2
PAL
18%
25%
57%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
PAL
2 - 1
CCP
78%
15%
7%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
PAL
2 - 1
CUI
77%
16%
7%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
PAL
4 - 2
TOM
84%
12%
4%
|
90 | 63 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
PAL
4 - 0
AGU
83%
13%
4%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | +1 |