Tombense vs Luziânia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
17.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
GOI
1 - 2
TOM
36%
27%
38%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
TOM
2 - 1
OPE
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
GRÊ
3 - 1
TOM
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
TOM
2 - 0
GRÊ
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
OPE
1 - 0
TOM
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Luziânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
LUZ
4 - 0
GRÊ
53%
25%
22%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
GOI
1 - 1
LUZ
48%
27%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
LUZ
0 - 0
OPE
45%
27%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
LUZ
3 - 1
GOI
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
OPE
1 - 2
LUZ
58%
24%
18%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |