Série C Fase Final Final
Global 1-4
Tombense vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
24.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
TOM
1 - 1
YPI
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 2
TOM
35%
30%
35%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
NOV
0 - 1
TOM
47%
29%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
TOM
1 - 2
NOV
41%
27%
33%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
TOM
2 - 2
MAN
59%
24%
18%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
ITU
3 - 1
BOT
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CRI
0 - 0
ITU
38%
29%
33%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
PAY
1 - 4
ITU
40%
29%
32%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ITU
3 - 1
PAY
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ITU
0 - 2
CRI
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |