Tombense vs Guarani MG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ATM
4 - 1
TOM
84%
12%
4%
|
51 | 85 | 34 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
TOM
3 - 1
TRI
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
TOM
0 - 2
TUP
37%
28%
35%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
URT
1 - 1
TOM
34%
26%
40%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
TOM
1 - 2
CRZ
10%
21%
69%
|
52 | 85 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
URT
40%
27%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
UBE
2 - 0
GUA
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
TUP
3 - 1
GUA
53%
24%
22%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 0
ATM
9%
19%
72%
|
48 | 85 | 37 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2016 |
TRI
3 - 0
GUA
27%
25%
48%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -2 |