Tombense vs Grêmio Barueri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
OPE
1 - 0
TOM
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
TOM
4 - 0
GOI
50%
26%
25%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
LUZ
0 - 1
TOM
33%
27%
41%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2014 |
TRE
2 - 1
TOM
40%
25%
35%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
TOM
0 - 3
CRZ
5%
15%
80%
|
53 | 86 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
GOI
1 - 0
GRÊ
47%
25%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
GRÊ
0 - 1
LUZ
60%
23%
17%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
GRÊ
3 - 3
LON
22%
24%
53%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
LON
0 - 0
GRÊ
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
RBB
2 - 1
GRÊ
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |