Tombense vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
72.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2012 |
TOM
2 - 1
ARA
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
MAM
2 - 3
TOM
29%
25%
46%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
TOM
1 - 1
27%
24%
49%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
3 - 1
TOM
66%
20%
15%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
TOM
4 - 1
MAM
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CRZ
2 - 1
ATM
46%
25%
30%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ATM
3 - 2
CRZ
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 3
ATM
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ATM
2 - 2
ATL
67%
20%
13%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
VAS
1 - 1
ATM
47%
25%
29%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |