Tombense vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
46.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
JUV
1 - 0
TOM
58%
24%
18%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 2
TOM
34%
25%
41%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
TOM
0 - 0
BRA
37%
29%
34%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
TOM
1 - 2
GUA
42%
29%
29%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
LON
1 - 0
TOM
51%
27%
22%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
POR
3 - 0
CAX
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2015 |
POR
1 - 0
GUA
55%
26%
19%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
JUV
3 - 2
POR
43%
28%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
POR
0 - 1
TUP
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 3
POR
26%
26%
48%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | +1 |