Tomás Greig vs Provincial Ovalle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
12.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tomás Greig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
GVE
2 - 0
TOM
47%
24%
29%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
TOM
1 - 1
FVC
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
BDS
4 - 0
TOM
28%
23%
49%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
TOM
4 - 2
LAU
48%
23%
28%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
TOM
1 - 1
DLI
68%
18%
14%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Provincial Ovalle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
BDS
3 - 1
OVA
59%
22%
20%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
OVA
0 - 1
LAU
32%
25%
43%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
DLI
1 - 0
OVA
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
OVA
1 - 0
EST
36%
26%
39%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2017 |
REN
3 - 1
OVA
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |