Tom Tomsk vs Mordovia Saransk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
25.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tom Tomsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
SKA
1 - 0
TOM
41%
28%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
TOM
0 - 0
FCK
59%
23%
17%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
TOR
0 - 0
TOM
29%
27%
43%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2019 |
DNM
1 - 2
TOM
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
OLY
2 - 1
TOM
29%
29%
43%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Mordovia Saransk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
MOR
0 - 0
VLA
49%
28%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
CHE
0 - 2
MOR
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 3
TAM
28%
28%
44%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2019 |
MOR
2 - 0
ONI
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 1
TYU
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |