Tom Tomsk vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tom Tomsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2005 |
DIN
0 - 0
TOM
57%
25%
18%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
TOM
1 - 2
FCR
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
PER
0 - 0
TOM
40%
30%
30%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
TOM
1 - 2
FCR
45%
28%
27%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
FKM
4 - 1
TOM
56%
26%
19%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2005 |
ALA
1 - 0
TER
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
LOK
3 - 0
ALA
75%
18%
7%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
DIN
1 - 0
ALA
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
ALA
0 - 0
FCR
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
PER
0 - 0
ALA
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |