Toluca vs Veracruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
TOL
4 - 0
NEC
58%
23%
20%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2007 |
CAZ
3 - 1
TOL
55%
25%
21%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
TOL
2 - 1
SNL
58%
23%
18%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
TIG
0 - 1
TOL
45%
27%
28%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
TOL
2 - 3
SAN
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
VER
1 - 4
CAZ
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2007 |
SNL
2 - 1
VER
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
VER
2 - 1
TIG
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
SAN
2 - 0
VER
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
VER
2 - 1
ATS
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |