Toluca vs Veracruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
PAC
0 - 1
TOL
45%
28%
27%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2006 |
TOL
1 - 0
NAC
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
ATS
0 - 0
TOL
40%
28%
33%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
TOL
1 - 0
PAC
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
TOL
7 - 0
TIG
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Veracruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
VER
3 - 1
JAG
33%
26%
40%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
ATL
2 - 0
VER
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2006 |
ATS
3 - 1
VER
56%
24%
21%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
VER
2 - 1
TIG
32%
26%
42%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
SNL
4 - 0
VER
55%
24%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |