Toluca vs Leones Negros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
TOL
2 - 1
PUE
67%
20%
13%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2017 |
MON
4 - 1
TOL
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
TOL
0 - 0
NEC
65%
21%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2017 |
DOR
1 - 2
TOL
29%
27%
44%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
CAZ
0 - 0
TOL
39%
27%
35%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
UDG
1 - 1
ALE
34%
28%
38%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
MER
0 - 0
UDG
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
DOR
2 - 1
UDG
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2017 |
UDG
0 - 2
TOL
24%
27%
48%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
UDG
0 - 4
ZAC
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |