Toluca vs Tijuana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
TOL
42%
25%
33%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
TOL
2 - 1
AUR
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
TOL
1 - 2
COR
51%
21%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TOL
2 - 2
HOD
54%
22%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
TOL
2 - 1
KCW
50%
22%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tijuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
TIJ
2 - 1
LEO
33%
26%
42%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TIJ
2 - 2
MON
27%
27%
47%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
TIJ
3 - 1
SAN
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
VAN
3 - 1
TIJ
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
LAN
3 - 0
TIJ
73%
17%
11%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |