Toluca vs Tigres UANL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2015 |
TOL
0 - 2
TIG
55%
25%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
TIG
0 - 0
TOL
47%
26%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2015 |
TOL
1 - 0
PUE
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
PUE
2 - 2
TOL
38%
27%
36%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
TOL
3 - 1
MON
59%
22%
20%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2015 |
PUM
4 - 1
TIG
38%
28%
35%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
TIG
3 - 0
PUM
59%
23%
19%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2015 |
TOL
0 - 2
TIG
55%
25%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
TIG
0 - 0
TOL
47%
26%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
JAG
0 - 1
TIG
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |