Liga MX Finals Ap. Semi-finals
Global 0-2
Toluca vs Tigres UANL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
TIG
0 - 0
TOL
47%
26%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2015 |
TOL
1 - 0
PUE
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
PUE
2 - 2
TOL
38%
27%
36%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
TOL
3 - 1
MON
59%
22%
20%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CAZ
1 - 2
TOL
36%
28%
37%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tigres UANL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
TIG
0 - 0
TOL
47%
26%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
JAG
0 - 1
TIG
41%
27%
32%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2015 |
TIG
2 - 1
JAG
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
TIG
0 - 0
CAZ
58%
24%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
VER
1 - 3
TIG
38%
29%
34%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |