Toluca vs Santos Laguna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
13.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2003 |
AME
0 - 4
TOL
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
SNL
2 - 3
TOL
29%
24%
47%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
TOL
3 - 2
CHI
70%
17%
13%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
TOL
1 - 4
AME
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
PAC
0 - 1
TOL
31%
24%
44%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2003 |
SAN
1 - 2
MON
65%
20%
16%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
AUR
1 - 0
SAN
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
SAN
4 - 1
PUM
61%
20%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
MOR
4 - 0
SAN
60%
20%
20%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
SAN
1 - 0
ATL
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |