Toluca vs Santos Laguna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
26.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2001 |
EST
0 - 1
TOL
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
TOL
1 - 1
CHI
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2001 |
TOR
0 - 1
TOL
26%
26%
49%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2001 |
TOL
1 - 1
MON
52%
23%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2001 |
PUE
0 - 0
TOL
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2001 |
SAN
2 - 2
NEC
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
LEO
4 - 2
SAN
31%
26%
43%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2001 |
SAN
6 - 4
REB
84%
11%
4%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2001 |
SAN
3 - 1
ATS
53%
22%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +2 |