Toluca vs San Luis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
ATS
2 - 0
TOL
36%
25%
39%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2003 |
TIG
1 - 0
TOL
41%
26%
34%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
TOL
6 - 0
AME
54%
23%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
MON
0 - 0
TOL
38%
26%
37%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2003 |
TOL
2 - 1
EST
78%
14%
8%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
San Luis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
SNL
0 - 2
TIG
30%
27%
44%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
QRO
4 - 4
SNL
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
SNL
0 - 1
MOR
31%
27%
42%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2003 |
PAC
2 - 0
SNL
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
SNL
1 - 2
JAG
53%
24%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |