Toluca vs San Luis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
10.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
CHI
3 - 3
TOL
37%
25%
38%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
TOL
5 - 1
PAC
71%
17%
13%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
TIG
2 - 2
TOL
47%
24%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
TOL
6 - 0
EST
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
CAZ
1 - 1
TOL
57%
21%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
San Luis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2002 |
SNL
3 - 0
MON
47%
25%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
AUR
3 - 1
SNL
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2002 |
SNL
6 - 3
PUM
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
MOR
3 - 2
SNL
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
SNL
2 - 2
ATL
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |