Toluca vs Reboceros de la Piedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
11.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
TOL
5 - 1
ATS
61%
20%
20%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
AUR
2 - 1
TOL
28%
27%
45%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
TOL
3 - 1
TIG
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
PAC
1 - 2
TOL
54%
22%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2002 |
TOL
2 - 1
AME
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Reboceros de la Piedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2002 |
REB
3 - 1
NEC
34%
25%
41%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
LEO
2 - 1
REB
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
REB
3 - 1
PUM
36%
27%
37%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
CAZ
1 - 5
REB
79%
13%
8%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2002 |
PUE
2 - 4
REB
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +2 |