Toluca vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
17.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
MER
2 - 1
TOL
27%
27%
46%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
JAG
2 - 1
TOL
37%
27%
36%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
TOL
0 - 0
MOR
53%
24%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
TOL
0 - 1
LEO
51%
25%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
LEO
1 - 0
TOL
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
PUM
1 - 1
ATL
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
PUM
0 - 1
CHI
56%
25%
19%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
QRO
1 - 3
PUM
44%
28%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2014 |
PUM
2 - 4
PAC
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
PAC
1 - 1
PUM
51%
26%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |