Toluca vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
CHI
1 - 1
TOL
40%
26%
33%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
TOL
3 - 1
MOR
65%
20%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
NEC
0 - 1
TOL
30%
28%
43%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
CHI
2 - 0
TOL
38%
27%
36%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2004 |
TOL
1 - 0
CHI
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2004 |
PUM
2 - 3
PAC
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
ATL
0 - 1
PUM
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
PUM
0 - 1
EST
76%
16%
9%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
PUM
6 - 1
PAC
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2004 |
PAC
2 - 1
PUM
40%
27%
32%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |