Toluca vs Puebla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
8.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2004 |
SAN
0 - 1
TOL
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
TOL
0 - 1
AME
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
DOR
0 - 1
TOL
27%
27%
46%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2004 |
TOL
0 - 2
ATS
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
CAZ
1 - 3
TOL
38%
26%
35%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2004 |
PUE
1 - 1
PAC
35%
26%
40%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
ATL
2 - 1
PUE
64%
21%
16%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
PUE
2 - 3
PUM
31%
26%
43%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2004 |
CHI
3 - 1
PUE
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
PUE
0 - 3
MOR
42%
26%
33%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |