Toluca vs Pachuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
AUR
0 - 0
TOL
30%
26%
44%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
TIG
0 - 1
TOL
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
TOL
0 - 0
ATS
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CAZ
3 - 2
TOL
56%
23%
22%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 0
PUM
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
PAC
2 - 1
TIJ
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
NEC
2 - 2
PAC
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
AME
2 - 0
PAC
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
PAC
1 - 1
CHI
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
PAC
0 - 1
ATS
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | -1 |