Toluca vs Pachuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
QRO
0 - 2
TOL
35%
26%
39%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
ZAC
3 - 4
TOL
26%
27%
47%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 0
SAN
53%
23%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
PUE
2 - 0
TOL
30%
27%
42%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 1
MON
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
AUR
2 - 1
PAC
21%
24%
55%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
PAC
2 - 1
LEO
54%
23%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
PAC
1 - 0
TOR
72%
18%
10%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 1
PAC
34%
26%
41%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
PAC
2 - 0
TIJ
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |