Toluca vs Pachuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
23.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2001 |
AME
3 - 1
TOL
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
TOL
3 - 1
MOR
57%
21%
22%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
ATL
2 - 2
TOL
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2001 |
TOL
6 - 2
SAN
51%
23%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2001 |
EST
0 - 1
TOL
37%
26%
37%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2001 |
PAC
2 - 2
NEC
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
LEO
1 - 1
PAC
37%
26%
38%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
PAC
2 - 0
PUM
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2001 |
CAZ
3 - 2
PAC
69%
17%
14%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
PAC
3 - 1
REB
81%
13%
6%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |