Toluca vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
CAZ
1 - 1
TOL
48%
25%
26%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
TOL
0 - 2
QRO
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
TOL
3 - 2
UAP
80%
14%
6%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2019 |
LEO
4 - 4
TOL
57%
22%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
TOL
57%
22%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
ZAC
1 - 0
ALE
53%
25%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
ALE
1 - 0
ZAC
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
ALE
3 - 0
TOR
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
AUR
3 - 1
ALE
50%
27%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ALE
0 - 0
MER
57%
25%
19%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |