Toluca vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2005 |
MON
0 - 3
TOL
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2005 |
TOL
3 - 3
MON
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
TOL
2 - 1
PAC
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2005 |
PAC
0 - 0
TOL
42%
28%
31%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2005 |
CAZ
0 - 0
TOL
49%
25%
27%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
NEC
0 - 2
PAC
46%
25%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2005 |
PAC
2 - 0
NEC
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
EST
3 - 2
NEC
44%
24%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
NEC
3 - 5
ATS
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
MOR
3 - 4
NEC
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |