Liga MX Finals Ap. Final
Global 6-3
Toluca vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
24.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
TOL
2 - 1
PAC
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2005 |
PAC
0 - 0
TOL
42%
28%
31%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2005 |
CAZ
0 - 0
TOL
49%
25%
27%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2005 |
TOL
1 - 0
CAZ
55%
24%
22%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
TOL
3 - 0
CHI
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
MON
2 - 1
TIG
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2005 |
TIG
1 - 0
MON
50%
24%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
MON
4 - 0
EST
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2005 |
EST
0 - 3
MON
44%
24%
33%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
MON
4 - 1
AME
42%
26%
33%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |