Toluca vs Monterrey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
16.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2003 |
TOL
5 - 0
SNL
78%
14%
8%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
ATS
2 - 0
TOL
36%
25%
39%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2003 |
TIG
1 - 0
TOL
41%
26%
34%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
TOL
6 - 0
AME
54%
23%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
MON
0 - 0
TOL
38%
26%
37%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2003 |
PUE
1 - 0
MON
28%
26%
46%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
MON
0 - 0
NEC
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
CHI
0 - 2
MON
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
MON
0 - 0
TOL
38%
26%
37%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2003 |
TIG
3 - 2
MON
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |