Toluca vs Mazatlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
10%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
TOL
3 - 2
JUA
76%
16%
9%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
CHI
0 - 0
TOL
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
TOL
0 - 0
CHI
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 0
TOL
39%
25%
37%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TOL
0 - 1
CAZ
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mazatlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
MAZ
2 - 2
AUR
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
CAZ
1 - 0
MAZ
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
MAZ
1 - 1
DOR
74%
16%
10%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
PAC
1 - 1
MAZ
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MAZ
0 - 2
JUA
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |