Toluca vs Sporting Kansas City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
28.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
TOL
3 - 1
CFS
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
CAZ
1 - 1
TOL
38%
25%
37%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
TOL
3 - 0
MAZ
74%
16%
10%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
TOL
3 - 2
JUA
76%
16%
9%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
CHI
0 - 0
TOL
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Kansas City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
KCW
2 - 1
CFS
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
KCW
1 - 1
STC
86%
9%
5%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
VAN
2 - 1
KCW
42%
25%
33%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
SJE
1 - 2
KCW
36%
24%
40%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
KCW
2 - 1
DAL
50%
24%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |