Toluca vs Jaguares FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
CHI
3 - 1
TOL
43%
27%
31%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 1
MON
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
MON
2 - 0
TOL
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
TOL
1 - 0
SNL
56%
24%
20%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
SNL
1 - 0
TOL
40%
27%
33%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
JAG
0 - 1
CAZ
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
JAG
2 - 3
ATS
47%
26%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
IND
0 - 1
JAG
37%
28%
35%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2009 |
JAG
1 - 2
MOR
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
AME
1 - 1
JAG
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |