Toluca vs Houston Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
23.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
TOL
2 - 1
KCW
50%
22%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
TOL
3 - 1
CFS
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
CAZ
1 - 1
TOL
38%
25%
37%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
TOL
3 - 0
MAZ
74%
16%
10%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
TOL
3 - 2
JUA
76%
16%
9%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Houston Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
HOD
3 - 0
RSL
39%
25%
37%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
HOD
0 - 1
ATS
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
VAN
3 - 4
HOD
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
SJE
0 - 1
HOD
38%
25%
37%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
HOD
1 - 1
MIN
38%
24%
38%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |