Toluca vs Chivas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
20.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
TOL
3 - 2
TIG
35%
26%
39%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2020 |
ATS
1 - 2
TOL
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
MAZ
2 - 1
TOL
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
TOL
3 - 2
AUR
66%
20%
15%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
MON
3 - 1
TOL
67%
19%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
CHI
2 - 1
AUR
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2020 |
JUA
0 - 2
CHI
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
CHI
0 - 1
PUE
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 0
CHI
65%
21%
15%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
CHI
0 - 0
LEO
25%
25%
51%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |