Toluca vs Chivas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
12.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
VER
0 - 3
TOL
21%
26%
53%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 0
JAG
63%
21%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 0
TOL
53%
24%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 0
MON
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
PUM
0 - 2
TOL
33%
27%
40%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
EST
1 - 1
CHI
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2014 |
CHI
2 - 1
QRO
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
PUE
0 - 1
CHI
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 2
EST
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 2
CAZ
27%
27%
46%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |