Toluca vs Chivas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
13.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
TOL
1 - 4
AME
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
PAC
0 - 1
TOL
31%
24%
44%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
TOL
3 - 1
TIG
68%
17%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2003 |
TOL
2 - 1
MUN
91%
7%
2%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
EST
3 - 0
TOL
20%
26%
54%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
CHI
1 - 1
MON
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
AUR
0 - 2
CHI
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
CHI
1 - 1
PUM
50%
23%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
MOR
1 - 1
CHI
63%
20%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
CHI
2 - 3
ATL
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |