Toluca vs Chivas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
18.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2001 |
CHI
1 - 1
TOL
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
PUM
1 - 1
TOL
53%
23%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2001 |
TOL
2 - 1
CAZ
42%
23%
35%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
REB
2 - 0
TOL
16%
24%
60%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2001 |
ATS
0 - 3
TOL
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2001 |
CHI
1 - 1
TOL
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
CHI
0 - 3
ATS
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
IRA
1 - 0
CHI
22%
25%
53%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
CHI
0 - 2
TIG
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
PAC
2 - 1
CHI
52%
23%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |