Toluca vs FC Juárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
CHI
0 - 0
TOL
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
TOL
0 - 0
CHI
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 0
TOL
39%
25%
37%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TOL
0 - 1
CAZ
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
AUR
1 - 5
TOL
24%
24%
52%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FC Juárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
JUA
2 - 2
ATS
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
JUA
1 - 1
LEO
22%
25%
53%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MAZ
0 - 2
JUA
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
JUA
0 - 1
TIJ
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
AUR
2 - 3
JUA
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |