Toluca vs Atlas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
15.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
TOL
29%
25%
47%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
PAC
2 - 2
TOL
42%
24%
34%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
TOL
4 - 0
TIJ
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
TOL
42%
25%
33%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
TOL
2 - 1
AUR
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Atlas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ATS
0 - 1
QRO
50%
26%
24%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
AME
3 - 0
ATS
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ATS
2 - 0
PAC
30%
27%
43%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AUR
2 - 1
ATS
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ATS
2 - 1
PUM
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |