Toluca vs Atlas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
29.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
NEC
1 - 3
TOL
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 0
LEV
15%
20%
65%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2022 |
LEO
4 - 4
TOL
59%
23%
19%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
TOL
2 - 4
ATS
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
TOL
0 - 1
JUA
69%
19%
13%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Atlas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
AME
0 - 0
ATS
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2022 |
ATS
2 - 2
CAZ
40%
29%
31%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2022 |
PAC
2 - 1
ATS
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2022 |
ATS
2 - 0
PAC
28%
26%
46%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
TIG
4 - 2
ATS
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |