Toluca vs Atlas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CAZ
3 - 2
TOL
56%
23%
22%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
TOL
1 - 0
PUM
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
TOL
4 - 1
MAZ
64%
19%
17%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
TIJ
3 - 2
TOL
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
TOL
2 - 0
NEC
50%
24%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Atlas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ATS
3 - 0
AME
16%
24%
61%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2021 |
PAC
0 - 1
ATS
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
ATS
1 - 1
SAN
17%
23%
60%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
PUM
0 - 0
ATS
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
ATS
0 - 2
TIG
20%
28%
53%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |