Toluca vs Atlas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
NEC
1 - 1
TOL
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
TOL
3 - 1
VER
72%
18%
10%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
TOL
0 - 2
KCW
49%
25%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2019 |
SAN
4 - 0
TOL
47%
25%
27%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
KCW
3 - 0
TOL
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atlas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
ATS
0 - 2
CAZ
26%
28%
46%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
TIJ
3 - 1
ATS
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
DOR
0 - 0
ATS
31%
25%
44%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
ATS
0 - 1
TIG
18%
27%
55%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
CHI
3 - 0
ATS
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |